Crude oil is on pace to wrap up a strong September, having gained a little over 9 percent month to date.
Some see further gains ahead as much of the commodity’s losses have been recouped.
“Investors have really gained confidence in oil, after the OPEC cuts that were originally discussed earlier in the year are starting to take shape here, and oil production is being curbed,” Phil Streible, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said Thursday on CNBC’s “Trading Nation.”
Further fueling the commodity’s recent upside is the International Energy Agency having upped its demand outlook for the end of this year and into 2018, Streible said.
Due to this combination of production cuts and growing demand, oil could head up to its 2017 high, just above $55, or even $60 per barrel by year-end. A global supply glut has plagued the market for several years, and OPEC member countries and non-member producers have vowed to implement cuts to curb such oversupply.
His forecasts would imply between 7 percent and 16 percent of upside from current levels; crude oil has not traded at $60 per barrel since mid-2015.
At this point, traders should seek to remain long the oil market above $50 per barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil, Streible said.
“If we got a two-day consecutive close below the $50 level, use risk management. Take the position off. Otherwise, it could be a nice wild ride back to the upside, and we may even see $60 by year-end,” he said, if economic data continues to be supportive.
WTI crude oil settled about 1 percent lower on Thursday, at $51.56 per barrel, slightly below its five-month highs.