Story highlights
- Julian Zelizer: World leaders are watching to see if Trump has the self-control and long-term strategic vision needed for Syria
- If the president is successful, the public could move past the controversies that have plagued his administration so far, Zelizer writes
He now has in front of him the possibility of making progress on one of the most vexing problems in foreign policy. Unlike on many issues, much of
world opinion seems to be on Trump’s side. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad “carries responsibility for these developments,” declared French President Francois Hollande and German Chancellor Angela Merkel in a joint statement.
But launching missiles is the just a first step. What comes next will really test the mettle of this administration as the responses from all the parties to the Syrian civil war and the larger political situation surrounding it starts to take shape. And there are many questions about whether Trump is up to the job of helping to solve Syria’s crisis.
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The President now faces the kind of test that confronted earlier presidents, some of whom demonstrated the ability to respond with confidence, with gravitas, and with the right mix of diplomacy and militarism.
Leaders who set an example
The White House legends, like Franklin Roosevelt after Pearl Harbor in 1941 or John F. Kennedy with the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962 or Ronald Reagan with the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty of 1987, demonstrated this resolve. In all of these cases the credibility of the president with the public and with international leaders was essential to their success.
President Roosevelt had demonstrated since his election in 1932 his ability to be an effective president who built a strong political coalition within the United States and who had slowly guided the nation toward a more internationalist posture despite the persistence of isolationism in Congress.
Despite the Bay of Pigs fiasco, Kennedy by 1962 had proven himself to be an intelligent and thoughtful commander in chief who displayed a strong sense of the various policy issues facing the nation and who had a steely demeanor that helped him navigate the political challenges that he faced.
When the hawkish Reagan met with Soviet Premier Mikhail Gorbachev over a series of summits, he showed the right balance of being able to concede on issues that were risky with his political base at home while maintaining a firm posture so that he could ultimately sell his historic arms agreement with our adversary to the Congress back home.
By the time of the final meeting with Gorbachev, who came to Washington ready to make a deal, Reagan had survived the Iran-Contra scandal and rebuilt public support. Politically, Reagan could still rally most of the Republican Party, and even a fair number of Democrats, when push came to shove. For leaders of other countries, this matters.
Keeping promises
A key indicator of presidential credibility lies in whether politicians and foreign leaders believe that the commander in chief will move forward with threats and keep key promises. Adversaries and supporters need to have confidence that a president can carefully handle the difficult moments of being a leader, particularly in crises.
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Other political leaders need to have some confidence that they can predict what a president will do and how he or she will act in the near future. Going into the Syria strike, Trump did not have this same kind of credibility.
The attack brings to mind some of the
“Wag the Dog” questions that arose when President Bill Clinton used missiles in the middle of the Monica Lewinsky scandal, with “Wag the Dog” a reference to the film with Robert De Niro and Dustin Hoffman where an administration manufactured a war to distract attention from a scandal.
During the campaign and during the course of the First Hundred Days,Trump has repeatedly undermined his own efforts to strengthen the perception that voters and heads of other nations have about his presidency.
Thus far, he has run a presidency aimed to appeal primarily to his base of supporters. His actions and statements have done almost nothing, as is evident through his historically low approval polls, to give others confidence in his ability to deliver.
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playing, inject analytics data* for Aspen (if enabled) and the companion ad layout* (if it was set when the ad played) should switch back to* epic ad layout. onContentPlay calls updateCompanionLayout* with the ‘restoreEpicAds’ layout to make this switch*/if (CNN.companion && typeof CNN.companion.updateCompanionLayout === ‘function’) {CNN.companion.updateCompanionLayout(‘restoreEpicAds’);}clearTimeout(moveToNextTimeout);CNN.VideoPlayer.hideSpinner(containerId);if (CNN.VideoPlayer.getLibraryName(containerId) === ‘fave’) {playerInstance = FAVE.player.getInstance(containerId) || null;} else {playerInstance = containerId && window.cnnVideoManager.getPlayerByContainer(containerId).videoInstance.cvp || null;}prevVideoId = (window.jsmd && window.jsmd.v && (window.jsmd.v.eVar18 || window.jsmd.v.eVar4)) || ”;if (playerInstance && typeof playerInstance.reportAnalytics === ‘function’) {if (prevVideoId.length === 0 && document.referrer && document.referrer.search(//videos//) >= 0) {prevVideoId = document.referrer.replace(/^(?:http|https)://[^/]/videos/(.+.w+)(?:/video/playlists/.*)?$/, ‘/video/$1’);if (prevVideoId === document.referrer) {prevVideoId = ”;}}playerInstance.reportAnalytics(‘videoPageData’, {videoCollection: currentVideoCollectionId,videoBranding: CNN.omniture.branding_content_page,templateType: CNN.omniture.template_type,nextVideo: nextVideoId,previousVideo: prevVideoId,referrerType: ”,referrerUrl: document.referrer});}if (Modernizr && !Modernizr.phone && !Modernizr.mobile && !Modernizr.tablet) {if (typeof videoPinner !== ‘undefined’ && videoPinner !== null) {videoPinner.setIsPlaying(true);videoPinner.animateDown();}}},onContentReplayRequest: function (containerId, cvpId, contentId) {if (Modernizr && !Modernizr.phone && !Modernizr.mobile && !Modernizr.tablet) {if (typeof videoPinner !== ‘undefined’ && videoPinner !== null) {videoPinner.setIsPlaying(true);var $endSlate = jQuery(document.getElementById(containerId)).parent().find(‘.js-video__end-slate’).eq(0);if ($endSlate.length > 0) {$endSlate.removeClass(‘video__end-slate–active’).addClass(‘video__end-slate–inactive’);}}}},onContentBegin: function (containerId, cvpId, contentId) {CNN.VideoPlayer.mutePlayer(containerId);if (CNN.companion && typeof CNN.companion.updateCompanionLayout === ‘function’) {CNN.companion.updateCompanionLayout(‘removeEpicAds’);}CNN.VideoPlayer.hideSpinner(containerId);clearTimeout(moveToNextTimeout);CNN.VideoSourceUtils.clearSource(containerId);jQuery(document).triggerVideoContentStarted();},onContentComplete: function (containerId, cvpId, contentId) {if (CNN.companion && typeof CNN.companion.updateCompanionLayout === ‘function’) {CNN.companion.updateCompanionLayout(‘restoreFreewheel’);}navigateToNextVideo(contentId, containerId);},onContentEnd: function (containerId, cvpId, contentId) {if (Modernizr && !Modernizr.phone && !Modernizr.mobile && !Modernizr.tablet) {if (typeof videoPinner !== ‘undefined’ && videoPinner !== null) {videoPinner.setIsPlaying(false);}}},onCVPVisibilityChange: function (containerId, cvpId, visible) {CNN.VideoPlayer.handleAdOnCVPVisibilityChange(containerId, visible);}};if (typeof configObj.context !== ‘string’ || configObj.context.length 0) {configObj.adsection = window.ssid;}CNN.autoPlayVideoExist = (CNN.autoPlayVideoExist === true) ? true : false;CNN.VideoPlayer.getLibrary(configObj, callbackObj, isLivePlayer);});/* videodemanddust is a default feature of the injector */CNN.INJECTOR.scriptComplete(‘videodemanddust’);
