The figures surprised economists, who had expected the economy to take a bigger hit from Modi’s decision last November to outlaw old 500 rupee and 1,000 rupee banknotes, taking out 86 percent of the currency in circulation virtually overnight.
“Perhaps this data is not capturing the impact of demonetisation,” said Aneesh Srivastava, chief investment officer, IDBI Federal Life Insurance Co.
“I am totally surprised and stunned to see this number … I believe that, with a lag, we will see an impact on GDP numbers.”
The data also backs the central bank’s assessment, which all along maintained the economic disruption caused by Modi’s shock monetary therapy as a transitory phenomenon.
