Vedral said he suspects that a lot of those people don’t want to admit they will vote for Le Pen, who is controversial because of her stance on immigration — and Muslim immigration in particular. “Political correctness leads people to lie in the polls,” he said. “Hence populist candidates benefit from the ‘shy vote.'”
If two-thirds of those undecided voters go to Le Pen, Vedral thinks she gets awfully close to winning.
What would push her over the 50 percent threshold is the possibility that she has the more committed voters.
While the national average for voter turnout in France is 80 percent, Vedral thinks Le Pen could get 85 percent of her supporters to show up at the polls. If Macron gets only 75 percent of his voters to cast their ballots, Le Pen could be the next president of France.
Political polls have proven badly inaccurate in recent years in the United States, United Kingdom and beyond.
