Erdogan will regret alienating Merkel

Germany, meanwhile, will likely suspect that the arrest was made to provide Turkey with a bargaining chip: Turkish state media has reported that two generals thought to be involved in last year’s failed coup in Turkey, are currently seeking asylum in Germany. It’s not hard to imagine that Erdogan would be very keen to see this pair back in Turkey.

It is possible that the Turkish President has misinterpreted Merkel’s desperation to secure his cooperation to stem the flow of Syrian migrants last year as a template to squeeze more money and political concessions from Europe. His strident rhetoric and uncompromising stance encouraged Merkel to cough up billions in EU money to the Turkish treasury.

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