But there is a big caveat: Half of the respondents in the IPPO poll either said they were undecided or declined to disclose their choice.
There are other warning signs for Rouhani. Out of the top three candidates,
The results “point to Iranian’s discontent with the status quo under Rouhani, even as election polls place him in the lead,” Babel Street said in a report.
Social media analysis by the Eurasia Group shows Rouhani leading on momentum, but
Qalibaf’s exit gives Rouhani a clearer path to victory by lowering the odds he’ll face a runoff election, according to Eurasia Group. The perception that
But Eurasia Group nevertheless lowered the probability of Rouhani’s re-election to 60 percent based on growing efforts by conservative elites and security forces loyal to Khamenei to mobilize support for